geohot.github.io

Latest posts

• The Eternal Sloptember

  May 24, 2026

  I’m calling it now, the adoption of AI agents into software development will be one of the most costly mistakes in the field’s history. Agents cannot program, and it’s taking longer and longer to realize that they can’t. They are a highly sophisticated statistical model designed to mimic the distribution of programming. The output is broken, but in a way that’s getting harder and harder to detect.

• There is only one bad AI scenario

  May 23, 2026

  I’ve pushed AI doomers on how exactly the AI kills us, and I’ve never heard a good answer. I think Skynet style scenarios where humanity is largely opposed to an out of control AI are science fiction domination fantasies, along with Gray goo bottom-up scenarios. Both of these assume a major continuity break with current reality, too bizarre to be true. But unfortunately, you don’t need this for hu

• What will better AI mean?

  May 20, 2026

  I thought about posting this paper but rebranding it as the Claude Mythos technical report. As far as I can tell, there’s no secret tricks the US frontier labs have, and that basically describes how Mythos was trained. What’s in that paper just works, and for verifiable domains, it’s only a matter of fixing bugs and scaling up. That’s why Anthropic is so desperate for regulatory capture, AI has no

• The Real Singularity is the Friends We Made Along the Way

  May 09, 2026

  This was in the Financial Times. I don’t have a subscription, so I don’t know what article it was in, or what context, or if they are in on the joke of the general absurdity of the graph or not. In case it’s not super obvious which one will happen, I will bet everything I have on it basically being the blue line. The graph has a log scale, that’s already exponential growth. There were old Yudkow

• Punk, or why I don’t stream anymore

  May 03, 2026

  If you’re the sun, I’m a black hole What killed the hacker culture I grew up in was spectacle. You can consume it without participating, and even worse it has signaling value. I never did CTFs to put them on my resume. I don’t even have a resume I take seriously. Just a battle between me and a machine and the glorification of my ego, sometimes public, but never performative. There was no purpose b

• AI will create jobs

  May 01, 2026

  It’s nice to see Jensen talk about this, and it’s super obvious when you think about it. AI and immigration are fundamentally the same. There’s new people showing up, and hopefully everyone understands how and why immigration creates jobs. Wants are effectively unlimited. It’s classic Jevons paradox that if we make something more efficient, we end up using more of it. Or a cool aphorism I learned

• A Mutating AI Powered Virus

  Apr 25, 2026

  Moravec’s paradox is alive and well. Computers are proceeding through tasks in a reverse order to humans. They first learned to do calculations and win at board games, then they learned to write and talk, and now they are learning to move. Opposite of animals. At the bottom of the funnel is the first thing life learned to do. Reproduce. Self reproduction of silicon machines is the holy grail. Mach

• Positivity

  Apr 24, 2026

  Today is a good day for positivity. Sometimes I get so focused on the negative that I forget how good things actually are. We are alive to see the birth of machine intelligence. Something that would have entirely displaced Google 10 years ago runs on your laptop. The best AI research is open source, constraint is the mother of creativity. The cutting edge is more open and competitive than ever. I

• Do you really want the US to “win” AI?

  Apr 23, 2026

  By all accounts, I should be a neofeudalist. I should love what’s happening. The AI I dreamed of my whole life is being built, engineer-type strongmen are sort of in charge, and people are saying out loud the things I have just thought. You might argue that I like it and I’m just not happy with my seat at the table. I ask myself a lot if this is true, like what if I was Elon. Would I be enjoying i

• AI has no moat

  Apr 22, 2026

  SpaceX is buying Cursor for $60B. lol it’s just sad to watch this shit, Twitter was $44B. Like this has to be some scam I don’t understand. Nobody I know even uses Cursor any more. In my opinion, opencode is legit the best coding agent. Not open source cope, like it’s actually number 1. And yes, it’s a good harness, but it’s not that hard to write something similar. opencode has a solid business m